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Résumé
This paper examines the effectiveness of economic sanctions imposed on Russia, particularly
following its 2022 full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Despite the unprecedented scope and scale of
these sanctions, their impact on Russia’s economy has been mixed, with only moderate contraction
reported by official Russian statistics. It combines an empirical assessment of these sanctions with
the development of a theoretical framework to better understand the complexities and trade-offs
in their application. Sanctions, while a critical tool of economic statecraft, are not a guaranteed
solution to end wars or alter a country’s behavior. The efficacy of sanctions depends on factors such as the target country's size and global
integration, the sanctioning coalition's unity, the ability to enforce sanctions, and the economic
burden on sanctioning nations. The paper underscores the importance of realistic expectations and
careful design of sanctions policy on trade, finance and payment systems.